India and China’s Steps Toward Peace Along the LAC—A Fragile Yet Promising Start

India and China take steps towards peace along the LAC, exchanging sweets on Diwali and agreeing to disengage troops.

By :  Amit Singh
Update: 2024-11-03 05:55 GMT

After years of tense standoffs, icy diplomatic exchanges, and deadly clashes, India and China have taken a significant step toward easing tensions along their disputed border. This Diwali, Indian and Chinese troops exchanged sweets at several border points, marking a hopeful moment in a relationship that has teetered on the brink of large-scale conflict for the past four years. Both sides recently agreed to disengage thousands of troops stationed across the Line of Actual Control (LAC), the de facto boundary stretching across a rugged 3,400-km border that has been a focal point of contention for decades. However, the sweetness of this moment belies the complexity that lies ahead. The recent disengagement and resumption of patrolling rights are certainly positive developments, but lasting peace remains elusive and will demand ongoing, strategic commitment from both nations.

India and China’s rocky relationship over their shared border is not new. The two Asian giants fought a war over the disputed territory in 1962, a conflict that exposed the deep mistrust embedded in both nations’ views of each other. Though the two sides reached an agreement in the early 1990s to minimize conflict and conduct controlled military patrols, tensions have periodically flared. For nearly three decades, the border areas remained relatively stable, with both sides respecting the principles outlined in this agreement. But starting around 2013, China began intensifying its military presence along the LAC, creating new flashpoints and unsettling the fragile peace.

The situation reached a boiling point in 2020 when thousands of Chinese troops moved aggressively across the LAC in the northern sector. This sudden escalation led to one of the most serious military standoffs between India and China in decades, resulting in the tragic deaths of soldiers on both sides during a clash in the Galwan Valley. The prolonged confrontation that followed tied down tens of thousands of troops from each country and soured diplomatic relations, with both sides maintaining heightened vigilance. The border crisis dominated headlines and cast a shadow over India-China relations, freezing nearly all bilateral engagement.

Over the last four years, India and China have engaged in painstaking rounds of talks aimed at de-escalation. Although both sides managed to pull back troops in areas like the Pangong Tso and Galwan Valley, two points of friction—Depsang and Demchok—remained unresolved. This gridlock persisted until now, as both countries have finally agreed to restore patrolling rights along the LAC. The completion of disengagement at these points, verified by ground commanders, signals a key diplomatic breakthrough.

This new deal, though limited in scope, has generated optimism. Allowing patrolling at previously tense areas could restore a sense of balance and normalcy along the border. For India, the easing of the border crisis would free up military resources that have been stretched thin. Meanwhile, for China, which has been facing its own domestic challenges, stability along the LAC could mean greater flexibility in addressing its broader foreign policy agenda.

While the sweet exchange along the LAC may symbolize a thaw, this fragile peace requires diligent nurturing. India and China’s agreement to resume patrolling is only the first step in a long and complex journey toward de-escalation. Despite the recent achievements, neither side has yet committed to fully withdrawing troops to pre-2020 positions. For both countries, military build-up along the LAC is not only a strategic buffer but also a matter of national pride, and any further step back will involve significant political calculations.

Moreover, the groundwork for patrolling remains to be laid out. Commanders at the brigadier level and below will need to establish clear modalities to ensure that patrols don’t lead to new misunderstandings or accidental clashes. Given the history of the conflict and the level of mistrust, crafting protocols that work in real-time under high-stress conditions will be a considerable challenge. The ambiguity of the LAC itself, which has no officially demarcated line, further complicates the situation. This shadowy line has already led to repeated confrontations due to differing perceptions of territory—misunderstandings that could easily reignite hostilities if not carefully managed.

For India, this recent breakthrough along the LAC is a testament to its commitment to strategic autonomy. Despite the pressure, India maintained a strong stance throughout the four-year standoff, mobilizing its troops, defending its territorial integrity, and refusing to normalize economic relations until stability was restored. This firm approach signals that India is willing to safeguard its interests even when faced with a much larger power. By successfully bringing China back to the negotiating table and securing a disengagement, India has demonstrated a level of diplomatic resilience that has implications beyond its northern borders.

However, to sustain this progress, India will need to walk a delicate tightrope. On one hand, a stabilized relationship with China opens doors for renewed economic engagement, which could benefit India’s economy and offer an alternative to the intense competition with China for global markets. On the other hand, India’s proximity to Western nations, particularly the United States, has largely been driven by shared concerns over China’s regional assertiveness. A less tense relationship with China may not sit well with India’s Western allies, who see India as a strategic counterbalance to China’s influence in Asia. Managing these intricate dynamics will be a critical test for India’s foreign policy.

If India and China can maintain this recent détente, it could pave the way for an economic reset. Chinese investments in India were heavily restricted following the 2020 crisis, impacting sectors from technology to manufacturing. Reopening economic ties could help India tap into China’s manufacturing prowess, while also giving Chinese companies access to India’s burgeoning consumer market. A balanced economic relationship could benefit both economies and help dilute the tensions that have long complicated bilateral ties.

Beyond economics, normalization with China could bring stability to India’s foreign relations on multiple fronts. For instance, as India’s ties with China stabilize, its relationships with the United States and other Western nations may require rebalancing. India’s alignment with the West has been partly shaped by shared concerns over China’s rise, but a less combative India-China relationship could shift the tone of its engagements with Western allies. In other words, a peaceful border could open a window for India to pursue a more independent, multipolar foreign policy that prioritizes regional stability.

The recent developments along the LAC represent a cautious yet hopeful beginning. India and China have managed to find common ground on a contentious issue that has plagued their relationship for decades. This agreement to disengage and resume patrolling is a small but crucial step toward de-escalation. If successful, it could lead to deeper economic cooperation and a more stable relationship between two of Asia’s most powerful nations.

However, this peace remains fragile. Missteps in the patrolling protocols, continued mistrust, or shifts in domestic politics could undo these hard-earned gains. The road ahead is fraught with challenges, and both countries will need to remain committed to dialogue and restraint. The exchange of sweets along the LAC this Diwali was a welcome gesture, but for true peace to flourish, both nations must work tirelessly to turn this symbolic truce into a lasting reality.

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